{"id":78052,"date":"2026-04-08T17:25:12","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T20:25:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogmarcosmontinely.com.br\/blog\/?p=78052"},"modified":"2026-04-08T17:25:12","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T20:25:12","slug":"real-time-big-data-divulga-pesquisa-para-governador-e-senador-em-pernambuco","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogmarcosmontinely.com.br\/blog\/real-time-big-data-divulga-pesquisa-para-governador-e-senador-em-pernambuco\/","title":{"rendered":"Real Time Big Data divulga pesquisa para governador e senador em Pernambuco"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"post-header\">\n<h1 class=\"post-title\"><\/h1>\n<div class=\"post-byline\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-78053 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/blogmarcosmontinely.com.br\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/pesquisa-pernmabuco-Joao-Raquel-300x168.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"468\" height=\"262\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogmarcosmontinely.com.br\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/pesquisa-pernmabuco-Joao-Raquel-300x168.webp 300w, https:\/\/blogmarcosmontinely.com.br\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/pesquisa-pernmabuco-Joao-Raquel.webp 419w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 468px) 100vw, 468px\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"post-content\">\n<div class=\"code-block code-block-1\">\n<div class=\"ai-rotate\">\n<div class=\"ai-rotate-option\" data-index=\"1\" data-name=\"QQ==\" data-code=\"PCEtLSBDQVJVQVJVIElQVFUgMjAyNiAtLT4KPGRpdiBjbGFzcz0iYWQiPjxhIGhyZWY9IiMiPjxpbWcgc3JjPSJodHRwOi8vYmxvZ2RvZmluZmEuY29tLmJyL3dwLWNvbnRlbnQvdXBsb2Fkcy8yMDI2LzAyL2Jhbm5lci02MDB4MTUwTi5naWYiPjwvYT48L2Rpdj4K\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>Gazeta \u2013<\/strong>\u00a0O instituto Real Time Big Data divulgou nesta quarta-feira (8) uma pesquisa que mostra como est\u00e1 a inten\u00e7\u00e3o de voto para o governo de Pernambuco nas elei\u00e7\u00f5es de 2026.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">O ex-prefeito de Recife,\u00a0<strong>Jo\u00e3o Campos<\/strong>\u00a0(PSB), lidera os dois cen\u00e1rios apresentados. Em um eventual segundo turno contra a atual governadora\u00a0<strong>Raquel Lyra<\/strong>\u00a0(PSD), Campos aparece com 52% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto. Lyra tamb\u00e9m aparece com a maior rejei\u00e7\u00e3o ao governo entre os entrevistados.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Para o Senado, a ex-deputada federal\u00a0<strong>Mar\u00edlia Arraes<\/strong>\u00a0(PDT) \u00e9 a mais citada. A segunda cadeira aparece indefinida, com mais de um nome empatado tecnicamente.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc postParagraph_type-tag-h2__TtFkT\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Pesquisa para o governo de Pernambuco em 2026<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">O instituto Real Time Big Data apresentou um quadro de pesquisa espont\u00e2nea (quando a pergunta \u00e9 aberta, sem apresenta\u00e7\u00e3o pr\u00e9via de nomes) e um cen\u00e1rio estimulado (quando o eleitor recebe uma lista com os nomes dos pol\u00edticos para escolha).<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc postParagraph_type-tag-h3__xSAn9\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Jo\u00e3o Campos e Raquel Lyra s\u00e3o os mais citados em cen\u00e1rio espont\u00e2neo<\/span><\/h3>\n<ul class=\"postList_post-list-container__W0E4y postList_visual-type-unordered-list__M8U7t\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Jo\u00e3o Campos (PSB): 21%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Raquel Lyra (PSD): 18%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Eduardo Moura (Novo): 1%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Outros: 3%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Branco\/Nulo: 9%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">N\u00e3o sabe: 48%<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc postParagraph_type-tag-h3__xSAn9\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Jo\u00e3o Campos lidera primeiro cen\u00e1rio estimulado<\/span><\/h3>\n<ul class=\"postList_post-list-container__W0E4y postList_visual-type-unordered-list__M8U7t\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Jo\u00e3o Campos (PSB): 50%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Raquel Lyra (PSD): 33%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Eduardo Moura (Novo): 8%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Ivan Moraes (PSOL): 2%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Branco\/Nulo: 4%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">N\u00e3o sabe: 3%<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc postParagraph_type-tag-h2__TtFkT\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Pesquisa de segundo turno para governador de Pernambuco<\/span><\/h2>\n<h3 class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc postParagraph_type-tag-h3__xSAn9\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Jo\u00e3o Campos x Raquel Lyra<\/span><\/h3>\n<ul class=\"postList_post-list-container__W0E4y postList_visual-type-unordered-list__M8U7t\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Jo\u00e3o Campos (PSB): 52%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Raquel Lyra (PSD): 40%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Branco\/Nulo: 4%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">N\u00e3o sabe: 4%<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc postParagraph_type-tag-h2__TtFkT\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Pesquisa de rejei\u00e7\u00e3o para governador de Pernambuco<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">O instituto Real Time Big Data perguntou em quais candidatos o eleitor n\u00e3o votaria de jeito nenhum.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul class=\"postList_post-list-container__W0E4y postList_visual-type-unordered-list__M8U7t\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Raquel Lyra (PSD): 39%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Ivan Moraes (PSOL): 33%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Jo\u00e3o Campos (PSB): 30%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Eduardo Moura (Novo): 25%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Poderia votar em todos: 3%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">N\u00e3o sabe\/n\u00e3o respondeu: 2%<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc postParagraph_type-tag-h2__TtFkT\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Pesquisa para senador por Pernambuco em 2026<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">O instituto Real Time Big Data apresentou tamb\u00e9m os resultados sobre como est\u00e1 a inten\u00e7\u00e3o de voto do eleitor de Pernambuco para as duas cadeiras em disputa ao Senado pelo estado. Os resultados abaixo apresentam o consolidado do primeiro e do segundo votos indicados, e reduzidos para 100%.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc postParagraph_type-tag-h3__xSAn9\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Mar\u00edlia Arraes \u00e9 a mais citada e segunda cadeira fica indefinida em primeiro cen\u00e1rio<\/span><\/h3>\n<ul class=\"postList_post-list-container__W0E4y postList_visual-type-unordered-list__M8U7t\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Mar\u00edlia Arraes (PDT): 27%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Miguel Coelho (Uni\u00e3o Brasil): 20%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Anderson Ferreira (PL): 18%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Humberto Costa (PT): 17%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Mendon\u00e7a Filho (PL): 12%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Branco\/Nulo: 3%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">N\u00e3o soube responder: 3%<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc postParagraph_type-tag-h3__xSAn9\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Segundo cen\u00e1rio tem Mar\u00edlia Arraes como a mais citada e segunda cadeira indefinida<\/span><\/h3>\n<ul class=\"postList_post-list-container__W0E4y postList_visual-type-unordered-list__M8U7t\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Mar\u00edlia Arraes (PDT): 29%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Anderson Ferreira (PL): 19%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Humberto Costa (PT): 17%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Mendon\u00e7a Filho (PL): 15%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Eduardo da Fonte (PP): 11%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Branco\/Nulo: 4%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">N\u00e3o soube responder: 5%<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc postParagraph_type-tag-h3__xSAn9\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Mar\u00edlia Arraes lidera terceiro cen\u00e1rio e segunda cadeira segue indefinida<\/span><\/h3>\n<ul class=\"postList_post-list-container__W0E4y postList_visual-type-unordered-list__M8U7t\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Mar\u00edlia Arraes (PDT): 28%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Miguel Coelho (Uni\u00e3o Brasil): 21%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Anderson Ferreira (PL): 19%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Humberto Costa (PT): 17%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Tadeu Gadelha (PSD): 8%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Branco\/Nulo: 3%<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"postList_post-list-item__34Ck1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">N\u00e3o soube responder: 4%<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>Metodologia<\/strong>: 1.600 entrevistados pelo instituto Real Time Big Data em Pernambuco, entre os dias 6 e 7 de abril de 2026. O n\u00edvel de confian\u00e7a \u00e9 de 95%, com margem de erro de 3 pontos percentuais, para mais ou para menos. A pesquisa foi contratada pela Real Time Midia Ltda. Registro no TSE n\u00ba PE-05363-2026.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4 class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc postParagraph_type-tag-h4__csw3o\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Por que a Gazeta do Povo publica pesquisas eleitorais<\/span><\/h4>\n<p class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">A\u00a0<strong>Gazeta do Povo<\/strong>\u00a0publica h\u00e1 anos todas as pesquisas de inten\u00e7\u00e3o de voto realizadas pelos principais institutos de opini\u00e3o p\u00fablica do pa\u00eds. As pesquisas de inten\u00e7\u00e3o de voto fazem uma leitura de momento, com base em amostras representativas da popula\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">M\u00e9todos de entrevistas, composi\u00e7\u00e3o e n\u00famero da amostra e at\u00e9 mesmo a forma como uma pergunta \u00e9 feita s\u00e3o fatores que podem influenciar no resultado. Por isso \u00e9 importante ficar atento \u00e0s informa\u00e7\u00f5es de metodologias, encontradas no fim das mat\u00e9rias da\u00a0<strong>Gazeta do Povo<\/strong>\u00a0sobre pesquisas eleitorais.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"postParagraph_post-paragraph__juWZN postParagraph_post-paragraph-innerHtml__Q5vwc\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Pesquisas publicadas nas elei\u00e7\u00f5es de 2022, por exemplo, apontaram discrep\u00e2ncias relevantes em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao resultado apresentado na urna. Feitos esses apontamentos, a\u00a0<strong>Gazeta do Povo<\/strong>\u00a0considera que as pesquisas eleitorais, longe de serem uma previs\u00e3o do resultado das elei\u00e7\u00f5es, s\u00e3o uma ferramenta de informa\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 disposi\u00e7\u00e3o do leitor, j\u00e1 que os resultados divulgados t\u00eam potencial de influenciar decis\u00f5es de partidos, de lideran\u00e7as pol\u00edticas e at\u00e9 mesmo os humores do mercado financeiro.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; Gazeta \u2013\u00a0O instituto Real Time Big Data divulgou nesta quarta-feira (8) uma pesquisa que mostra como est\u00e1 a inten\u00e7\u00e3o de voto para o governo de Pernambuco nas elei\u00e7\u00f5es de 2026. O ex-prefeito de Recife,\u00a0Jo\u00e3o Campos\u00a0(PSB), lidera os dois cen\u00e1rios apresentados. Em um eventual segundo turno contra a atual governadora\u00a0Raquel Lyra\u00a0(PSD), Campos aparece com 52% &#8230; <\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more-container\"><a title=\"Real Time Big Data divulga pesquisa para governador e senador em Pernambuco\" class=\"read-more button\" href=\"https:\/\/blogmarcosmontinely.com.br\/blog\/real-time-big-data-divulga-pesquisa-para-governador-e-senador-em-pernambuco\/#more-78052\" aria-label=\"More on Real Time Big Data divulga pesquisa para governador e senador em Pernambuco\">Leia mais<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-78052","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-sem-categoria"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Real Time Big Data divulga pesquisa para governador e senador em Pernambuco - Blog Marcos Montinely<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogmarcosmontinely.com.br\/blog\/real-time-big-data-divulga-pesquisa-para-governador-e-senador-em-pernambuco\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Real Time Big Data divulga pesquisa para governador e senador em Pernambuco - Blog Marcos Montinely\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&nbsp; Gazeta \u2013\u00a0O instituto Real Time Big Data divulgou nesta quarta-feira (8) uma pesquisa que mostra como est\u00e1 a inten\u00e7\u00e3o de voto para o governo de Pernambuco nas elei\u00e7\u00f5es de 2026. 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